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<p>As they are as likely to wear skirts as trousers, this is 0.5.<br/>
* , or the probability of the student wearing trousers given that the student is a boy. This is given as 1.<br/>
* , or the probability of a (randomly selected) student wearing trousers regardless of any other information. Since  (via the <a href="page.php?w=law_of_total_probability">law of total probability</a>), this is .</p>

<p>Given all this information, the <b>posterior probability</b> of the observer having spotted a girl given that the observed student is wearing trousers</p><p>
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